Take-Two’s Stock Surges 55%, but Its Soaring Price Tag Raises Eyebrows

The video game publisher has outpaced the Nasdaq and S&P 500 by a wide margin, but investors now face a different kind of challenge — is the company worth its high price?

Take-Two Interactive has been one of the market’s stealth winners. While tech giants have grabbed headlines with AI breakthroughs and chip dominance, this video game maker quietly posted a 55% gain over the past 12 months. That’s far ahead of the S&P 500’s 13.1% and the Nasdaq’s 14.3%. But those gains tell only half the story.

Investors chasing momentum need to look under the hood. Because even though the stock’s chart looks pretty, the company’s bottom line paints a murkier picture.

Strong Brands, Even Stronger Fans

It’s hard to find a gamer who hasn’t crossed paths with a Take-Two title. Whether it’s stealing cars in Grand Theft Auto, roaming the Wild West in Red Dead Redemption, or dunking in NBA 2K, the company has something for nearly every genre fan.

These aren’t just casual hits — they’re cultural staples.

The company operates three major labels: Rockstar Games, 2K, and Zynga. That gives it a stronghold across consoles, PCs, and mobile platforms. Even more importantly, it’s not just relying on one-time game sales anymore. Most of its money now comes from repeat purchases inside the games themselves.

That’s not a small footnote either — recurrent consumer spending made up more than 79% of total revenue last fiscal year.

That kind of revenue is gold because it’s consistent. While blockbuster releases can be feast or famine, digital add-ons, in-game currency, and mobile ads keep the cash coming.

Revenue Climbing, Profits Still Out of Sight

While revenue’s moving up, profits are still stuck in reverse.

Take-Two’s GAAP revenue hit $1.6 billion in the fourth quarter, up 13% from the prior year. For the full year, sales climbed to $5.6 billion — a 5.3% increase. That kind of growth is healthy, no doubt.

But the net income line? That’s a different story.

The company lost $4.5 billion for the fiscal year ending March 31. Even after removing the $3.8 billion in impairment charges, the loss still stung. And it wasn’t a one-time thing — it lost $3.7 billion the year before. This year, management is guiding for a further GAAP loss of between $439 million and $499 million.

Still, there’s a bright spot buried in the numbers. EBITDA, which strips out a bunch of accounting noise, came in at $199.1 million last year. That’s down from $272 million the year before — but almost all of it came in the fourth quarter. Executives think this figure will more than double this fiscal year, projecting between $508 million and $562 million.

A Price Tag That’s Getting Heavier

With the stock up over 55%, the valuation math has changed — a lot.

Since the company isn’t profitable, there’s no P/E ratio to use. But the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio? That’s fair game. A year ago, it sat around 4.5. Now, it’s 7.5.

That’s not a minor jump — that’s a major re-rating.

Here’s a quick comparison of P/S ratios across similar players:

So yes, the stock has momentum. But it’s no longer cheap.

Big Hopes Ride on Big Titles

Investors are betting that upcoming releases — especially Grand Theft Auto VI — will bring in a flood of new revenue. And honestly, they might be right.

The GTA franchise is a juggernaut. GTA V alone has sold over 190 million copies globally. That’s not just popular — that’s record-breaking.

The anticipation around GTA VI is off the charts. A successful release could tip the revenue needle in a serious way. But the release isn’t expected until 2025, and delays are always a risk in this industry.

In the meantime, mobile games through Zynga and updates to NBA 2K will need to hold the fort.

So, Should Investors Be Nervous?

Maybe a little.

Take-Two’s fanbase is loyal, and its franchises are some of the most bankable in the gaming world. But growing sales without growing profits isn’t a long-term formula for success.

Even with a strong pipeline and an uptick in EBITDA forecasted, it’s tough to ignore the swelling GAAP losses. The company’s strategy relies heavily on future titles hitting — not just performing well, but outperforming expectations.

If they do, the current valuation could be justified.

If they don’t, well, the stock’s recent rally might start to look like a sugar high.

• Recurrent consumer spending now dominates the company’s revenue — a key strength.
• But impairment charges and weak GAAP earnings keep dragging down the financial story.
• The upcoming GTA VI release could be a game-changer — or a pressure point.
• Shares are now more expensive than close competitors based on price-to-sales.

That said, Take-Two’s long-term value may depend less on next quarter’s earnings and more on how well it keeps gamers hooked — and spending.